As Fall season comes, it is measure to watch your portfolio one more time. Why so? Because this is the instant when portfolio managers re arrange their portfolio too. They control huge amount of funds . Understanding what they do, can give you a better return of your investment. For example, if you understand they will unload a distinctive stock at certain point of instant, would you want to sell after they sell? Of course not. You would want to sell before they do.

So, what is happening during the Fall season? Mutual fund, hedge fund, pension fund and others fairly often times reshuffle their portfolio towards the finish of the year. Why? One of the main reason is taxes. Managers usually sell their losing pick before the year ends to get a tax deduction.

How about winning picks? Since capital acquire taxes will be imposed on any appreciating investment, logically, portfolio managers would want to pay as little taxes as possible. How did they do it? Simple. They might sell their winning holdings on January 1st of 2006 instead of December 31st of 2005. This simple move will enable them to pay capital acquire taxes on April 2007 instead of April 2006.

So, what is the implication of these portfolio managers action? Generally, rising stocks will keep rising towards the finish of the year and vice versa. Of course, they do not necessarily reach its turning point on Dec 31st and move on the opposite direction when the new year begins, but it should move close to that pattern.

While it is still too early, you might initial compiling a list of stocks that fit this criteria. When you are buyers of turnaround stocks, you would want to wait until after portfolio managers finished selling all their losing positions. Similarly, if you hold a winning position, you must sell it before they do.

Here is some of the list that might be useful when year end comes. Winning stocks include: Valero Energy (VLO), Tesoro Corp (TSO), Nvidia (NVDA) and TXU corp (TXU). Losing stocks include: ATI Technologies (ATYT), Pier 1 Imports (PIR) and Sharper Image (SHRP). There are lots of other stocks, of course. This is just simply the stock I had recently watched.

Moral of the story? Wait for year finish . Rising stock will rises further while losing stocks will continue to underperform. Do not sell too soon and do not buy too early !